Analyst · Researcher · Consultant

K M Najib
Hayder

MSc Business Analytics (Distinction) · University of Surrey
Accepted — IFORS 2026 International Conference · Graduate Visa, full UK work rights

I build quantitative models for policy and operational problems, working across Bayesian inference, discrete-event simulation, efficiency analysis, and NLP. Coming from a Finance background, my research spans misinformation dynamics, fuel poverty risk, and infrastructure efficiency in the Global South. I am looking for data and analytics roles in the UK, and for research pathways in operational research and development economics.

Research & Working Papers

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Accepted — IFORS 2026

Modelling Belief Dynamics and Attention Displacement in Information Disorder: A Conceptual Decision-Support Approach

Accepted for oral presentation at the 24th IFORS Conference, Vienna, July 2026. Frames social media content moderation as a resource-allocation problem under partial observability. Combines NLP, transformer-based sentiment modelling, Markov-chain transition dynamics, and Monte Carlo robustness testing to construct two composite indices for narrative-level intervention prioritisation.

Markov ChainsNLPMonte Carlo SimulationPython
Work in Progress

Household-level Fuel Poverty Risk Scoring from Aggregate Statistics in the UK: A Bayesian Machine Learning Approach

Assembles 2.6 million UK property records from six government sources. Applies MCMC Bayesian inference to generate household-level fuel poverty probability distributions from aggregate LILEE statistics. Validates using Random Forest (0.88 ROC AUC, Pipeline B) and XGBoost across dual pipelines isolating signal leakage. Submitted to Energy Policy (Elsevier).

MCMC Bayesian InferenceRandom ForestRSpatial Analysis
Work in Progress

Infrastructure Efficiency in the Global South: A DEA-Based Assessment

Applies Data Envelopment Analysis to assess public infrastructure efficiency across Global South economies, examining whether constraints on infrastructure development are primarily financial or institutional. Work in progress.

Data Envelopment AnalysisPanel DataDevelopment Economics

Projects

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Articles

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Education & Experience

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01

MSc Business Analytics, University of Surrey · Distinction

Statistics & Econometrics · Machine Learning/AI & Visualisations · Data Mining & Text Analytics · Performance Analytics · Equity Investment Analysis · Operational Analytics · Supply Chain Analytics

02

BBA Banking and Insurance, University of Dhaka

Financial Derivatives & Risk Management · Security Analysis & Portfolio Management · Investment Banking · Central Banking · Credit Management · Econometrics · Monetary & Fiscal Policy

03

Project Manager, 180 Degrees Consulting · Guildford, UK

04

Finance Officer, BLCS Institute and Hospital · Dhaka

05

Blog Manager, The Confluence · Dhaka

06

Head of Policy Dialogue, Youth Policy Forum · Dhaka